I get that, and I don’t disagree with the later stats you posted. But they seem to contradict your earlier statements, where you claim that the LED is damaged in just seconds at moderate over-driving, and you can measure that effect.
I’m not at all surprised that a modestly over-driven LED might show a 5% decrease in output after 500 hours of use.
What I was surprised at was your assertion that it happens in just seconds, even with your good heat-sink.
So, I’m not sure what your belief is now. Is it seconds, or hundreds of hours?