Single LH351D with Dr. Jones question

90 or 70 CRI ? 90CRI LH351Ds have a lower Vf and so will pull a higher current in direct drive.

As you can see efficiency goes does down as current increases so you can’t do a rule of three to estimate lumens.

Estimating current in direct drive isn’t easy because a bunch of resistances influence it. You can try myDD calculator , you wont get very accurate estimations but it should help you understand how it works.